Mes: febrero 2022

England soccer, if there would be two words that could really match then these would probably be it. Soccer has been England’s national sport and it has become a part of the culture and society of the place as well. In England they usually call soccer as football or even association football.

England soccer has been popular in Europe because of its history and its vast array of teams and talented players. Children around England are just simply addicted to the sport and it can be evidently seen in many places surrounding the area. The history of soccer is also accredited to England for it is where the modern football or soccer started.

Backing up this history, during 1888 director of Ashton Villa, William McGregor established the Football League. This football league was declared as the very first football league in the professional ranks around the world. But through the years, many different leagues have also sprung out from England Currently, officials have been trying their best to join all of these leagues to come up with a very distinctive league where people can determine which is the top team among all of England 40,000 clubs and more comprise all the registered clubs in the FA. This stat shows that England has 11,000 more clubs than any country in the world. With this in tact, England is the country that has more football clubs ever internationally.

Such is the craze of soccer in England that almost the whole place is in love with it. There is just no other sport that could match soccer in England.

In his book «Betting to win» Prof. Williams wrote: «If ever there was a golden age of betting, this is it». He was absolutely right. In today’s world of soccer betting, we enjoy the services of bookmakers, online betting tips and media news. But still there remain two important questions any punter has to answer prior to placing his stake: who is the favorite and what bet to place. Online betting resources such as betting tips sites, team analysis made by experts and the media news help you to choose the match favorite and even to estimate the probability of win in no time. However, counting your profits at the end of the season, you find them, at the very least, disappointing. Why? The reason is clear: bad money management.

This article summarizes a research conducted in order to estimate the optimal parameters for money management strategies. The research is based on a comparison between statistics of top vs. secondary European soccer leagues playing in 2008/09 and 2009/10 seasons.

Definitions

In order to present the results of the research, a number of definitions are required.

• «Value bet» is the measure of inconsistency between punters’ and bookmakers’ predictions for the upcoming match outcome. Each outcome has a distinct value.
• A value bet refers only to the value of potentially profitable outcomes. For example, if the probability of a win is 50%, then only outcomes with odds higher than 2 are considered a value bet. The formula is as follows: odds x the probability of a win. If the value is higher than 1, the bet is considered a «value bet».
• The probabilities of home win/draw/away win are estimated by the average frequency of their appearance during a season.
• Kelly’s strategy defines the optimal stake that a punter should place on a favorite.
• Given the value of each outcome, the profit is calculated based on the assumption that the punter places a stake according to the Kelly’s strategy. If the betting stake is negative, the punter doesn’t play. The profit is calculated using bookmakers’ average betting odds.
• An optimal value bet is the value bet that brings the maximal profit.
• Data from ten top and ten secondary leagues from the following European countries was analyzed: Austria, England, Netherlands, France, Germany, Greece, Italia, Scotland, Spain and Turkey.

Summary

A punter’s average profit from soccer betting is calculated for value bets from 1.01 to 2. The optimal value bet was found to be 1.38, offering in an average profit of 12% for the top European Soccer Leagues. However, the optimal value bet for the secondary leagues was found to be 1.5, resulting in the average profit of 19%. This difference means that a punter must have a higher confidence when betting on a secondary league, than when betting on a top league. The profit is higher because bookmakers’ predictions are worse, resulting in attractive betting odds for punters.

Juventus is new champion of Serie A The team beat Cagliari away 2-0 and beat Inter Milan 4-2 in the derby and it was enough for the boys of Antonio Conte to triumph.

So «Bianconeri» have added a 28 Serie A title to her window. They were champions in 2003. This is the first gold for them Kalchopoli since the scandal that deprived the team of two titles and sent it to the Series «B».

But now – round before the end, nothing can stop the «Old Lady». Team unbeaten in the league, although the final of the competition is only one round.

Cagliari against Juve won 2-0, but goals were made by Vucinic in the sixth minute and the sheath that you scored an own goal in the 74th minute.

At the same time on «San Siro» stadio was played real action. Inter hit the big rivals AC Milan 4-2 and also helped the Turin giants to become champion.

The character of «Inter» has become Diego Milito, who scored a hat-trick. He was accurate in 14 minutes and in 52 th and 79 th minute shootout. Maicon dovashi eternal rival, with a goal three minutes before the end, but Milan had previously Ibrahimovic scored in the 44th minute from a penalty in the 46th minute.

The match, which became the Crossbar show was seen by 75,000 spectators at the «San Siro».

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